At many Latino dinner tables the conversation has already started: someone asks “are you going to vote on November 3?” and the answer is no longer the shrug of years past. A national survey published today by the Pew Research Center puts numbers to that mood: more than half of registered Latino voters say their vote for Congress this year is, at heart, a vote against President Trump.
This isn’t a social media rumor or a campaign poll: it’s the Pew Research Center, with 5,062 adults surveyed —including 774 registered Latino voters— between September 28 and October 4, in English and Spanish.
55% are clear: their vote is against Trump
The report’s central finding: 55% of registered Latino voters say they think of their vote for Congress this fall as a vote against Trump. Only 14% see it as a vote in his favor, and 30% say the president is not an important factor in their decision.
The contrast with 2022 is stark: four years ago, 26% of Latino voters saw their vote as support for then-President Biden and 23% as opposition to him; almost half (48%) said he wasn’t a factor. This year, Trump weighs much more heavily in the Latino vote decision.
And it’s not just among Democrats: 84% of Hispanic voters who support the Democratic candidate in their district say their vote is opposition to Trump. Among Hispanics who voted for Trump in 2024, 19% also describe this year’s vote as a vote against the president.
Approval collapsed to 24%
Trump’s job approval among registered Latino voters stands at 24% today, down 14 points from the 38% he had in February 2025, at the start of his second term.
The drop is even sharper among Latinos who voted for him in 2024: their approval fell from 93% to 57%, a 36-point collapse in less than two years. Among those who voted for Kamala Harris, approval is practically nonexistent: 1%.
Seven in ten say the policies harm Hispanics
70% of registered Hispanic voters say the Trump administration’s policies have been harmful to Hispanics. Only 12% say they have been beneficial and 16% say they have had no effect.
In addition, 61% say the situation of Hispanics in the United States is worse than a year ago; barely 11% say it’s better and 26% say it’s about the same.
On immigration, even among Hispanics who voted for Trump in 2024 there is discomfort: 30% say his administration is doing “too much” in deporting immigrants living in the country without authorization.
The ballot: a 27-point Democratic advantage among Latinos
In the national race for the House of Representatives, Democratic candidates hold a 27-point advantage among registered Hispanic voters: 51% would vote for the Democrat in their district versus 24% who would vote for the Republican. 18% are still undecided.
Party images moved too: 53% of Latino voters have a favorable view of the Democratic Party (up from 44% before the 2024 elections), compared with 29% who view the Republican Party favorably.
One nuance: among Hispanics who voted for Trump in 2024, 65% say they would vote for the Republican congressional candidate this year, 11% for the Democrat and the rest aren’t sure or would vote for someone else.
They’re more motivated than in 2022
Here’s a data point strategists in both parties are studying closely: Latino voters who support the Democratic candidate are far more engaged with this election than four years ago.
77% say it really matters who wins control of Congress (it was 58% in 2022), 53% say they’re extremely motivated to vote (it was 41%) and 45% say they’ve already thought a lot about these elections (it was 24%).
And the issue that weighs most, according to Pew itself, is still the pocketbook: the economy is the number-one issue for Latino voters, who are increasingly worried about the cost of gasoline and unemployment.
What to do today, in order
- Check your voter registration. Don’t assume you’re registered: check your status in the registration guide for the November 3 elections, with state-by-state deadlines.
- Check early voting in your state. Many states already allow voting before November 3, in person or by mail; the guide has the step-by-step.
- Mark November 3 on your calendar. With motivation at its highest since 2022, this is one of those elections where every vote truly counts. Follow all the updates in the news section.
Official sources
- Pew Research Center — “How Latino Voters Are Experiencing the 2026 Midterm Elections” (published October 16, 2026): https://www.pewresearch.org/race-and-ethnicity/2026/10/16/how-latino-voters-are-experiencing-the-2026-midterm-elections/
- Pew Research Center — “Latino Registered Voters See the Democratic Party More Favorably Than the Republican Party” (published October 16, 2026): https://www.pewresearch.org/race-and-ethnicity/2026/10/16/latino-registered-voters-see-the-democratic-party-more-favorably-than-the-republican-party/
Photo by Sora Shimazaki on Pexels.
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